Overview for 2012-election

Palin: The GOP's LeBron James?

Each of the GOP’s leading 2012 contenders seems to have a strangely similar counterpart in the sporting world. Back in 1979, my late law professor, Robert Cover, wrote a much-cited piece in the New York Times twining Supreme Court Justices and baseball players.  For example, John Marshall was …

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Written by Alan Hirsch on Friday May 6, 2011

Daniels' Favorite Non-Answer

When asked for his 2012 plans, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels likes to repeat a favorite quote of his. But even he might be surprised at the original source. When reporters ask Mitch Daniels if he will run in 2012, he has an answer that he likes to give: A man said: when I consider my …

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Written by Noah Kristula-Green on Wednesday May 4, 2011

Daniels Stays Mum About 2012 Plans

Wednesday afternoon in D.C., Gov. Mitch Daniels spoke at AEI about education reform. But the standing room only crowd was more interested in his 2012 plans. Governor Mitch Daniels spoke at AEI to discuss the successful passage of several education reforms bills in Indiana. When he spoke, even …

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Written by Noah Kristula-Green on Wednesday May 4, 2011

For GOP: Pawlenty vs. Romney is the Main Event

The GOP primary field is about to get crowded, but in the end the race will boil down to a battle between Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty. Bill Kristol posts that he now believes that Mitch Daniels, Mike Huckabee and Michelle Bachmann will indeed all declare. The National Journal simultaneousl…

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Written by David Frum on Sunday May 1, 2011

Trump's Next Reality Hit

Pundits are already making bets on whether "The Apprentice" survives. But if Trump plays his cards right, his reality career doesn't need to come to an end. Last week, I took a look at what happens when one well-off family allowed a camera crew to insinuate itself into their daily lives, back in …

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Written by Telly Davidson on Friday April 29, 2011

Barbour's Withdrawal Boosts Romney

Now that he's out of the race, Haley Barbour - the ultimate party regular - will gravitate to the party regulars' consensus choice: Mitt Romney. Who benefits from Barbour’s withdrawal? Short answer: Romney. Barbour would have been effective competition for support of Romney donors. As is, Barbour …

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Written by David Frum on Monday April 25, 2011

Obama's West Coast Swing

Obama's trip to California didn't just give him the chance to fill his campaign coffers. It was also a reminder to Washington that he still owns the youth vote. It was fitting that President Barack Obama kicked off his bid for a second term last week in Chicago. The Windy City is, of course, his …

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Written by Les Francis on Thursday April 21, 2011

How to Beat Trump

If the GOP really wants to finish off Trump, Republican candidates had better learn to speak to the anxieties of voters and offer real solutions to the economic crisis. This post by Ed Kilgore about Donald Trump seems to me very astute. The Republican establishment has perceived [Trump] as a …

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Written by David Frum on Wednesday April 20, 2011

State Debt: Washington's Next Budget Headache?

As Capitol Hill takes a breather from the budget battles, here’s an overview of the unresolved debates and still-mounting spending skirmishes. Congress may have finally approved the FY11 budget this week, but the next battles have already begun. The deficit debate awaits a proposed centrist …

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Written by Steve Bell on Saturday April 16, 2011

For Trump, There's No Bad Publicity

Donald Trump may become the first man in American history to actually run for President in order to make money. Say what you will about Donald Trump, but the man is nothing if not creative. Trump’s not the first uber-wealthy person with an outsized personality to run for President (see Perot, …

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Written by Jeb Golinkin on Thursday April 14, 2011

Romney: Not Cynical Enough?

Romney may be notorious for changing his stance on issues, yet lately he seems too eager to say what he believes rather than what will win political points. Is Mitt Romney's biggest problem that he’s just not cynical enough? It seems like a ridiculous conclusion since the man is notorious for …

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Written by Noah Kristula-Green on Thursday April 14, 2011

The GOP's Romney Problem

If the economy remains depressed into 2012, Romney could well defeat Obama. However, he would also be a very dangerous candidate for the GOP to lose with. So here's my Romney problem, triggered by yesterday's formal announcement (hem, exploration). I think Mitt Romney would make a fine …

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Written by David Frum on Tuesday April 12, 2011

Romney Can't Keep Running From Romneycare

Mitt Romney's Presidential announcement video doesn't mention his Massachusetts healthcare plan, but he can't keep avoiding it. Mitt Romney's announcement video leads with jobs. Good. It cites Romney's real world business experience. Good. It treats his healthcare plan as an embarrassing …

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Written by David Frum on Monday April 11, 2011

2012 GOP Favorites: Too Wonky to Win?

Jonathan Chait thinks the GOP has a "Dukakis problem": none of the candidates being drafted to run looks very presidential. Will wonkiness hurt the GOP in 2012? In Sunday's New York Times Magazine , Jonathan Chait argues that the GOP has a "Dukakis problem": none of the candidates being …

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Written by Andrew Gelman on Sunday April 10, 2011

Mississippi GOP's Embarrassing Interracial Fears

PPP released a survey last week that should cause stomachs to churn: among GOP primary voters in Mississippi, 46% believe interracial marriage shouldn't be legal. Public Policy Polling released a survey last week that should cause stomachs to churn throughout polite society; among Republican …

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Written by Corey Chambliss on Sunday April 10, 2011

Reading Romney’s Mind

As Republicans edge closer to a shutdown and Democrats get ready to run against the Ryan budget, what's going through Romney's head? This has been my best week in politics since John McCain lost to Barack Obama. I face two huge problems: getting nominated and getting elected. To get …

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Written by David Frum on Thursday April 7, 2011

2012 Won't be Won in Chicago

Team Obama's set up HQ in Chicago and launched their 2012 bid. But can they govern as well as they campaign, especially when so far removed from Washington? Well, the suspense is over. President Barack Obama is going to be a candidate for reelection in 2012.  Whew! It’s not clear why such an …

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Written by Les Francis on Monday April 4, 2011

Obama's Reelection Edge

Obama's ratings aren't stellar (at about 47%), but they're in the same ballpark as Clinton, Reagan, and Nixon's were at the same point. And they were reelected in landslides. Here's one major political factoid on President Obama's side: all three post-World War II incumbents who lost their bids …

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Written by Eli Lehrer on Monday April 4, 2011

It's Time for a Florida-First Primary

A primary system that started in Florida would press presidential candidates to talk more about the issues most Americans care about. At the end of World War II, a new secretary of state faced a tough management decision. The State Department's old quarters had become desperately cramped and …

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Written by David Frum on Monday April 4, 2011

Romney's Healthcare Talking Points Still Need Work

Romney has developed a set of answers when he is asked about his Massachusetts healthcare plan, but they still need some work. At the RJC annual meeting in Las Vegas, Mitt Romney delivered the big speech on Saturday. He did a good job too, talking about issues from employment to Israel - …

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Written by David Frum on Sunday April 3, 2011