Dems Only Winners in GOP-New York Conservative Party Fight

UPDATED: Yesterday, David Keene, chairman of the ACU, orchestrated a blogburst for third-party candidate Doug Hoffman. Hoffman is running against GOP candidate Dede Scozzafava in New York's 23rd congressional district and many fear that the split will cede the seat to the Democrats.

David Keene, chairman of the American Conservative Union, orchestrated a blogburst for the Conservative Party candidate, Doug Hoffman,  in New York's 23rd congressional district race yesterday.  Stacy McCain did a roundup of the messaging here, but the gist of his post is that Dede Scozzafava is going to run into trouble in the weeks ahead.

Considering that nobody is releasing any new numbers, and Hoffman is asking for money and insanely risky high-profile endorsements at the same time, I'm deeply skeptical.  That being said, my biggest fear in this race is a plurality victory for the Democratic candidate, Bill Owens.  If that happens, the New York Conservative Party will blame the New York Republican Party, and vice versa.  My view is that the possible recriminations from this race would be deeply damaging to two very important New York institutions, at a time that a deeply troubled state needs both.

UPDATE: The Siena poll just came out.  Dede Scozzafava is doing worse than I thought, so, yes, she is running into trouble.  I was wrong there, but the rest stands.

Also, Jim Geraghty at National Review is thinking along the same lines: This isn't shaping up well  for the GOP or for the Conservative Party.