Overview for default

Republicans Win the Spin Cycle

It's going to be hard for Democrats to depict the Republicans as extremist and irresponsible when President Obama is hailing the results of the debt-ceiling showdown as a "bipartisan deal to avoid default and reduce the deficit."

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Written by David Frum on Monday August 1, 2011

Boehner's New Plan - Even Deader

A few thoughts on the implications of Boehner adding a "Balanced Budget Amendment" to his debt-ceiling bill (which would now require that Congress pass a BBA before a second debt-ceiling increase could take place early in 2012): Adding the BBA makes the bill very likely to pass the House. …

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Written by Fred Bauer on Friday July 29, 2011

A Recovery Menaced By Dysfunctional Politics

In a time of fundamental uncertainty, what do we know for certain? No, that’s not a Yogi Berra kind of question. Timing of passage of an increase of some size in the national debt ceiling remains uncertain. Which side will blink first remains uncertain. Final form of the legislation …

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Written by Steve Bell on Friday July 29, 2011

States Will Be Slammed by Default

A federal default could cascade through state governments, forcing tax increases and budget cuts on local taxpayers. Medicaid budgets could be slashed. Federal money for unemployment benefits could halt. State colleges could lose federal grants. The Pew Center on the States reports that …

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Written by Nicole Glass on Wednesday July 27, 2011

How to Protect Your Finances in a Default

Six months ago I thought a federal default unthinkable. Default now seems all too sadly possible. How can individuals protect themselves from the economic consequences of a worst-case scenario? Some thoughts: In a default, cash will be worth less (because the dollar will plunge), and debt …

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Written by David Frum on Tuesday July 26, 2011

Stumbling Toward Disaster

There's blame for all in the debt talk breakdown. The president walked away from Simpson-Bowles, declined to present plans to reach long-term budget balance, etc. etc. etc. But in the argy-bargy, keep this in mind: the debt problem has become a debt crisis for one reason only: because …

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Written by David Frum on Friday July 22, 2011

The Jobs Report is Awful, but a Default is Worse

While the latest jobs report is dismal, it is no excuse for Republicans to have no plan or their own or to push for a default. The latest jobs report is truly dismal in that it shows a slight gain in jobs. However, it isn't the "death blow" or sure sign of a double-dip recession that might send …

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Written by Eli Lehrer on Friday July 8, 2011

Default Will Extract a Political Price from the GOP

Republicans in Congress need to understand that there will be a political price to them, not only to the president, if they force the United States into a default. David Brooks delivers a withering column in today's NYT: The struggles of the next few weeks are about what sort of party the …

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Written by David Frum on Tuesday July 5, 2011

There is No Upside to a Default

Can anyone explain to me slowly what exactly congressional Republicans are doing on the debt ceiling? Can anyone explain to me slowly what exactly congressional Republicans are doing on the debt ceiling? Yes, I perfectly understand the need to restrain borrowing (relative to GDP), …

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Written by Andrew Pavelyev on Thursday June 30, 2011

Technical Default? Don't Even Think About It

Senator Toomey is claiming that a technical default will be relatively painless. Every message from Wall Street is telling him he's wrong. This past week, differing assessments of the effect of a “technical default” on United States sovereign debt widened the debt ceiling split among …

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Written by Steve Bell on Friday June 10, 2011

GOP's Debt Fight Strategy Backfires

Initially, many Republicans believed Obama would be blamed for any pain from not increasing the debt ceiling. That party's beginning to realize that was wishful thinking. A very strange thing happened this week—truth appeared in Washington, D.C. After President Obama met with House Republicans…

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Written by Steve Bell on Thursday June 2, 2011

Default Fears Start to Shake Investors

Many in the GOP might claim that a short-term default wouldn't have any negative effects, but there are signs that the debt fight has already begun to worry markets. In a vote that was not close, the House of Representatives rejected a “clean” debt ceiling increase Tuesday night, setting the stage …

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Written by Fred Messner on Wednesday June 1, 2011

Wall Street's Getting Nervous About a Default

Who are you going to believe: the GOP Congressmen who say a short-term default won't matter or the financial professionals warning against that? “Don’t go to a butcher for back surgery.”  My Air Force veteran father used to say that.  It meant: don’t listen to folks about important matters unless …

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Written by Steve Bell on Sunday May 29, 2011

Want Dems to Win in 2012? Then Default

Jim DeMint may try to place the blame for a potential default on Obama and Geithner, but voters will know to hold Republicans responsible in 2012. Senate Republicans are telling Treasury Secretary Geithner that a default will be his fault even though they are the ones refusing to raise the debt …

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Written by Andrew Pavelyev on Friday May 27, 2011

A Treasury Fire Sale Won't Prevent Default

In a blogpost at NRO, Veronique de Rugy presses her claim that we can pay off America's debts without default or a debt limit rise. Unfortunately, it just won't work. Veronique de Rugy takes issue with my recent blogpost arguing that there isn't enough money to pay off America's debts without …

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Written by Noah Kristula-Green on Friday May 20, 2011

Don't Be Fooled: Default Will Be Painful

Talking heads and think tank fellows are claiming that paying off America’s debts without default will be painless, but their numbers just don't add up. Conservatives, whether they are think tank fellows or radio hosts, share the same talking point: paying off America’s debt’s without default will …

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Written by Noah Kristula-Green on Thursday May 19, 2011

The GOP's New Line: Defaults Don't Matter

As the GOP latches on to the false idea that a default is manageable, even the debts of the United States have become another tool of politics. Noah Kristula-Green makes the important point that Stanley Druckenmiller's weekend WSJ interview has blossomed in a matter of days into something like …

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Written by David Frum on Wednesday May 18, 2011

Toomey Brushes Off Debt Default Danger

Senator Pat Toomey might not want to face a default, but he also thinks it wouldn't be the end of the world. Would markets feel the same way? Senator Pat Toomey claims that he doesn’t want the US to face a default, but he is definitely interested in the arguments made by conservative op-ed …

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Written by Noah Kristula-Green on Wednesday May 18, 2011

Why Watch Cable?

As a sometime talking head on CNN, I'm arguing against interest here - but Friday was a day that fully drove home the uselessness of cable news. All day long, cable breathlessly reported the Tiger Woods story, while managing totally to ignore what had actually occurred. As a sometime talking head …

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Written by David Frum on Saturday November 28, 2009