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Santorum Masters Retail Politics

not possessed of the elitist vibe of George H.W. Bush and, to a lesser extent, Barack Obama, doesn't give off that "I want to be his friend" feeling of true masters of the art of retail politics like Bill Clinton. But Santorum, who I've seen campaign up close and got to know casually while

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Written by Eli Lehrer on Wednesday January 4, 2012

Ron Paul's Bad Memory

United States in the past. "I would suggest ...the way they got Khalid [Sheikh] Mohammed," Paul told Conway. "We went and cooperated with Pakistan. They arrested him, actually, and turned him over to us, and he's been in prison." "What's wrong with that?" Paul asked. "Why can't we work

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Written by David Frum on Wednesday January 4, 2012

The Road Ahead

Iowa is a one-off or a route to the nomination. For George W. Bush, it was the latter. For Mike Huckabee, it was the former. Look to see whether Rick Santorum's numbers rise in national polling over the next few days. If they do, those looking for a not-Romney might rally around him. …

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Written by Fred Bauer on Wednesday January 4, 2012

Confirmed: The Ames Straw Poll is Useless

place) - and he did not even do much campaigning in Iowa except for the last few weeks! The (very close) runner-up, Rick Santorum, increased his share of the vote by a factor of two and a half. Romney and Santorum together won half of all votes in the caucuses - but only 13% of all votes

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Written by Andrew Pavelyev on Wednesday January 4, 2012

The Expectations Game

a few hours before Tuesday night's results came in.  "In terms of advertising, we spent $10 million in the run-up to the caucuses four years ago, and we've spent a fraction of that this timeAnd in terms of the candidate's own appearances in Iowa, he was here 100 days or so four years ago,…

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Written by David Frum on Wednesday January 4, 2012

The Secret of Ron Paul's Success

repackage Paul as a much more conventional conservative: pro-life, pro-military, small government, and supportive of the operation that killed bin Laden. If Paul ever does gain altitude, he will be very vulnerable to negative advertising that exposes the truth of his beliefs and background.

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Written by David Frum on Tuesday January 3, 2012

You Read it First at FrumForum

and convictions appear to be  paying off . And for those of you who comment at Frum Forum even David Brooks is now on boardOnly a month later than your humble scribe. If Santorum wins Iowa his lack of money and the make-up of New Hampshire mean a loss there. But South Carolina

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Written by John Vecchione on Tuesday January 3, 2012

Wargaming The Caucuses

This is the result indicated by last day's polling. If it eventuates, this will be a very short nominating contest. Romney will proceed to win in New Hampshire. Perry and Gingrich will try to make a last stand in South Carolina. Unless one or the other wins outright, their money will dry up

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Written by David Frum on Tuesday January 3, 2012

Drug Cartels Get More Sophisticated

of mass graves still come in on a regular basis. Fortunately, spillover violence into the United States has largely not occurred at the level many have feared . Some recent news is disconcerting, however. According to an article by Michael Weissenstein from the Associated Press , It

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Written by Mark R. Yzaguirre on Tuesday January 3, 2012

Ron Paul's Personal Responsibility

the current campaign? The supporters say "no" again. When Ron Paul tells an interviewer that the Civil Rights Act of 1964 made race relations "worse," we're not supposed to consider what he might mean by "better." When Ron Paul warns that a border fence would be used to prevent fleeing American

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Written by David Frum on Tuesday January 3, 2012