Paul and Conway Tied in Poll
A new cn|2 poll shows the Kentucky senate race between Rand Paul and Jack Conway tied:
Democratic U.S. Senate candidate appears to have picked up some undecided voters over the last two weeks and is in a dead heat with Republican candidate Rand Paul, the latest cn|2 Poll shows.
When asked which candidate they would support if the election were today, 41.7% of likely Kentucky voters said Conway and 41.2% picked Paul. The survey of 801 voters was conducted Aug. 16 through 18.
“I think it’s natural for these races to tighten up as we go into the fall, ” said Ellen Williams, a lobbyist and former Republican Party of Kentucky chairman. “I’m not surprised. But that will change as people really focus on the differences between Paul and Conway.”
The results reflect a 10-point jump for Conway from the last statewide cn|2 Poll taken Aug. 2-4. Support for Paul has held steady at around 41 percent for each of the three statewide cn|2 Polls. View the full results and crosstabs of the Aug 16-18 poll here.
This survey also showed the lowest percentage of undecided voters for the cn|2 Poll at 16.4%. The other two previous polls each showed the percent of undecided voters above 20%.
Paul’s spokesman, in a brief telephone interview, dismissed the results, saying “other more established polling firms are showing a healthy lead for Dr. Rand Paul.” A Rasmussen Reports poll of about 500 voters interviewed by an automated system showed Paul with a 49-40 lead over Conway. (See other Kentucky results here).
“With all due respect, your polling has been as about consistent as Jack Conway has been on the issue of extending the Bush tax cuts,” Howard added. (The Paul campaign has criticized Conway for flip-flopping on his support for keeping the tax cuts.)
The cn|2 Poll is conducted by Braun Research Inc. of Princeton, N.J. It has a margin of error of 3.46 points.
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