Hatch and Schumer’s Big Idea

Written by David Frum on Wednesday January 27, 2010

Senators Hatch and Schumer have proposed an especially elegant version of the payroll tax cut. And the plan is all the more important now that CBO chief Doug Elmsdorf is projecting that unemployment will hover near 10% for all of 2010, and that it will take four years for unemployment to subside to 2007 levels.

An especially elegant version of the payroll tax cut.

Starting immediately after enactment, any private-sector employer that hires a worker who had been unemployed for at least 60 days will not have to pay its 6.2 percent Social Security payroll tax on that employee for the duration of 2010. The Social Security trust fund will then be made whole with spending cuts elsewhere in the budget between now and 2015. That’s it. Simple to understand, and easy to explain.

The beauty of this proposal goes beyond its simplicity. Unlike a jobs tax credit of a specific dollar amount, this credit is “front-loaded” in that it provides an incentive for businesses to hire workers earlier in the year — because the tax benefit will be greater. A $60,000 worker hired on Feb. 1 will save a business about $3,400 in taxes, while that same worker hired on May 1 will save it about $2,500.

Unlike some versions of a payroll-tax holiday, which provide a much bigger benefit for higher-paid workers, this proposal is not biased toward either low-wage or high-wage workers. Yes, if you pay people more, you save more in taxes — but the savings as a percentage of pay remains constant. Under this plan, a business saves 6.2 percent on both a $40,000 worker and a $90,000 worker.

In the current environment, no business wants to wait until 2011 to receive a tax credit for someone it hires today. Another obvious benefit of this proposal to forgive payroll taxes is that it keeps money in a business’s pockets, since the tax is simply not collected in the first place.

All the more urgent at a time when CBO chief Doug Elmsdorf is now projecting that unemployment will hover near 10% for all of 2010, and that it will take four years for unemployment to subside to 2007 levels.

Category: News