Canada's Election Wild Card

Written by David Frum on Saturday April 30, 2011

When reading Canadian polls 48 hours from an election, remember that Canadian party loyalty is much weaker - and Canadian opinion therefore more volatile - than in the US.

When reading Canadian polls 48 hours from an election, remember that Canadian party loyalty is much weaker - and Canadian opinion therefore more volatile - than US.

I take to heart the opinion of a Conservative strategist in the Ontario election of 1995: "Our voters are the most committed of any party's. No more than half of them would desert us within the next 24 hours."